Ghaz Al Shamalvs
Al Zawra'a
COMPLETEDIraq · Iraqi League · 10/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Zawra'a · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ghaz Al Shamal 0-0 Al Zawra'a, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ghaz Al Shamal 1-0 Al Zawra'a
Original prediction
Al Zawra'a
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.92 | 22.8% | 18.8% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 30.0% | 32.9% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 47.2% | 48.2% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Projected Score
Ghaz Al Shamal 0–0 Al Zawra'a
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Al Zawra'a
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Al Zawra'a has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ghaz Al ShamalLDDDL
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Al Zawra'aDLWWW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Ghaz Al ShamalAl Zawra'a
14.8Attack55.6
74.1Defence77.8
29.6Form66.7
42.4Power65.9
0.40xG0.89