World CupWorld Cup
Wednesday, 17 June 2026Last updated 10:02
Ghana

Ghana

Home
LLDW
10
Full time
Panama

Panama

Away
LLL
BMO Field
GoalVio prediction
38% confidence
Ghana(38%)
Prediction correct— Result: Ghana
Win probability
Ghana
38%
Draw
26%
Panama
36%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Ghana
18
Panama
9
Defence
Ghana
75
Panama
53
Momentum
Ghana
33
Panama
0
Danger (xG)
Ghana
0.18
Panama
0.26
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Ghana)
0.18
avg per match
xG for (Panama)
0.26
avg per match
xG against (Ghana)
0.37
avg per match
xG against (Panama)
0.47
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
GhanaGhana
LLDW
PanamaPanama
LLL

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Ghana38%
Draw26%
Panama36%

Ghana leads with 38% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Ghana head into this in World Cup fixture at BMO Field in mixed form (LLDW), while Panama arrive struggling for consistency (LLL). Ghana have a 25% win rate across their last 4 matches, compared to 0% for Panama over 3 games.

The model rates Ghana's attack at 18/100 against a 53/100 Panama defence, and Panama's attack at 9/100 against a 75/100 Ghana backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Ghana have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Panama have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Ghana have generated 0.37 xG per game recently while conceding 0.30 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Panama have generated 0.26 xG per game recently while conceding 0.47 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

Ghana have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Ghana to win with 38% confidence. Win probabilities: Ghana 3811%, Draw 2590%, Panama 3599%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Ghana 1Draws 00 Panama
Avg goals: 1.0
18 Jun 2026
Ghana
W10
Panama
xG 0.00.1

Recent form

Ghana

Ghana

L
@ Colombia
4 Jul 2026
01
L
@ Croatia
27 Jun 2026
12
xG 0.7
D
@ England
23 Jun 2026
00
W
vs Panama
18 Jun 2026
10
xG 0.0
Panama

Panama

L
vs England
27 Jun 2026
02
xG 0.6
L
vs Croatia
24 Jun 2026
01
xG 0.1
L
@ Ghana
18 Jun 2026
01
xG 0.1

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Ghana vs Panama?

GoalVio's model predicts Ghana to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Ghana vs Panama?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Ghana vs Panama?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ghana vs Panama?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more