Geumsan Insamvs
Namyangju
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K4 League · 10/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Geumsan Insam · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Geumsan Insam 2-0 Namyangju
Original prediction
Geumsan Insam
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 18:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 45.8% | 41.6% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.5% | 28.1% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.25 | 27.7% | 30.3% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.96 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Geumsan Insam
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Geumsan Insam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00