Getafevs
Rayo Vallecano
COMPLETEDSpain · La Liga · 10/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Getafe · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Getafe 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Original prediction
Getafe
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.02 | 31.5% | 37.8% | 6.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.96 | 32.3% | 28.1% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 36.2% | 34.2% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.96 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Getafe
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Getafe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GetafeDLWLD
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Rayo VallecanoDDWLW
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
GetafeRayo Vallecano
16.7Attack45.8
58.3Defence33.3
33.3Form37.5
39.1Power41.8
1.23xG1.10