Getafevs
Deportivo La Coruna
COMPLETEDSpain · La Liga · 9/13/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo La Coruna · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Getafe 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna
Original prediction
Deportivo La Coruna
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 38.2% | 31.4% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.86 | 33.3% | 28.4% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 3.33 | 28.6% | 40.2% | 11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.86 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo La Coruna
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Deportivo La Coruna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20