Getafevs
Celta Vigo
COMPLETEDSpain · La Liga · 9/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Getafe · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Getafe 1-1 Celta Vigo
Original prediction
Getafe
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 37.6% | 37.8% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.86 | 33.4% | 30.6% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 29.0% | 31.6% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.86 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Getafe
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Getafe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GetafeLLWWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Celta VigoDLLDD
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
GetafeCelta Vigo
11.1Attack8.3
55.6Defence66.7
33.3Form16.7
36.7Power33.8
1.14xG0.99