Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Numancia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Getafe II 0-0 Numancia, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Getafe II 0-0 Numancia
Original prediction
Numancia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.01 | 30.4% | 29.8% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.93 | 31.2% | 31.6% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 38.4% | 38.6% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.93 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Projected Score
Getafe II 0–0 Numancia
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Numancia
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Numancia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Getafe IILDLDL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
NumanciaWDWWW
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Getafe IINumancia
0.0Attack50.0
66.7Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power86.5
0.74xG1.02