Getafe IIvs
CF Talavera
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 9/20/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Getafe II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Getafe II 1-1 CF Talavera
Original prediction
Getafe II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.9% | 38.1% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.1% | 30.3% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 29.0% | 31.5% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.12 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Getafe II
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Getafe II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40