Getafe IIvs
Calvo Sotelo
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 10/25/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Getafe II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Getafe II 0-0 Calvo Sotelo, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Getafe II 2-2 Calvo Sotelo
Original prediction
Getafe II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.4% | 40.0% | -10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.2% | 30.3% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 4.05 | 22.4% | 29.7% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.34 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.3 pts
Projected Score
Getafe II 0–0 Calvo Sotelo
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Getafe II
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Getafe II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40