GGOALVIO

Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 10/18/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Getafe II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Getafe II 2-2 Albacete II

Original prediction

Getafe II

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7851.1%44.4%-6.7 pts
Draw3.4426.4%26.6%0.2 pts
Away4.0322.5%29.0%6.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

Getafe II

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

Getafe II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Getafe IILDLDL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Albacete IILLDLW

GF 7 · GA 19 · avg 1.40/3.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Getafe IIAlbacete II
22.2Attack38.9
50.0Defence0.0
16.7Form27.8
32.6Power26.1
1.36xG1.09
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