Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gernika · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Gernika are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (LDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Izarra are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Gernika hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 41.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2, while Gernika holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gernika
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Gernika has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 1.50/0.00