GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Germinal de Rawson are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Villa Mitre are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Villa Mitre hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 53.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 13% BTTS chance and 5% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

52.3%

Model confidence

43.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Germinal de RawsonLDDLD

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Villa MitreWLWLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Germinal de RawsonVilla Mitre
26.3Attack28.1
70.2Defence80.7
43.9Form47.4
48.3Power53.8
0.38xG0.47
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