GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Germinal de Rawson are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Santamarina are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Germinal de Rawson hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 13% BTTS chance and 6% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

51.0%

Model confidence

42.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Germinal de RawsonDWLLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SantamarinaLLLDL

GF 0 · GA 5 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Germinal de RawsonSantamarina
18.5Attack16.7
70.4Defence64.8
40.7Form24.1
45.7Power37.0
0.53xG0.36
View match centre →