Germinal de Rawsonvs
Santamarina
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 6/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Germinal de Rawson are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Santamarina are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Germinal de Rawson hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40