Germinal de Rawsonvs
San Martín Mendoza
SCHEDULEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Germinal de Rawson are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while San Martín Mendoza are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and san Martín Mendoza hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Torneo Federal A, favouring a draw with 42.2% confidence, a 14% BTTS chance and 6% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
42.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60