Germinal de Rawsonvs
Guillermo Brown
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 9/13/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Germinal de Rawson 0-0 Guillermo Brown, with an exact score probability of 38%.
Prediction record
Final result
Germinal de Rawson 1-0 Guillermo Brown
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 38.7% | 36.3% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.70 | 33.3% | 39.0% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 3.21 | 28.0% | 24.8% | -3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Projected Score
Germinal de Rawson 0–0 Guillermo Brown
Exact score probability: 38%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60