Germinal de RawsonvsDeportivo Rincon

COMPLETED

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Germinal de Rawson 0-0 Deportivo Rincon, with an exact score probability of 39%.

Final result

Germinal de Rawson 0-0 Deportivo Rincon

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	2.31	39.1%	30.3%	-8.8 pts
Draw	2.78	32.6%	39.3%	6.7 pts
Away	3.19	28.3%	30.4%	2.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.78 · Draw 1.78 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.7 pts

Projected Score

Germinal de Rawson 0–0 Deportivo Rincon

Exact score probability: 39%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Germinal de RawsonDLWDW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5

Deportivo RinconWLDWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5

Germinal de RawsonDeportivo Rincon

23.8Attack31.7

71.4Defence69.8

41.3Form46.0

47.1Power51.4

0.46xG0.51