GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 5/3/2026, 6:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Germinal de Rawson are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Alvarado are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Alvarado hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

35.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Germinal de RawsonDWLDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AlvaradoDWDDW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Germinal de RawsonAlvarado
26.3Attack40.7
70.2Defence87.0
43.9Form61.1
48.3Power63.2
0.37xG0.70
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