Germinal de Rawsonvs
Alvarado
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 5/3/2026, 6:10:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Germinal de Rawson are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Alvarado are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Alvarado hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
35.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20