Germany Wvs
Australia W
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Women · 10/9/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Germany W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Germany W 4-2 Australia W
Original prediction
Germany W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 67.4% | 39.6% | -27.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.70 | 19.1% | 26.0% | 6.8 pts |
| Away | 6.66 | 13.5% | 34.5% | 21.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-27.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Germany W
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Germany W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 1 · avg 2.60/0.20
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40