World CupWorld Cup
Saturday, 20 June 2026Last updated 10:05
Germany

Germany

Home
DLWW
21
Full time
Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast

Away
LWLWL
BMO Field
GoalVio prediction
60% confidence
Germany(60%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Germany
Win probability
Germany
60%
Draw
20%
Ivory Coast
20%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Germany
90
Ivory Coast
50
Defence
Germany
56
Ivory Coast
50
Momentum
Germany
58
Ivory Coast
40
Danger (xG)
Germany
2.63
Ivory Coast
0.97
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Germany)
2.63
avg per match
xG for (Ivory Coast)
0.97
avg per match
xG against (Germany)
1.09
avg per match
xG against (Ivory Coast)
0.73
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
GermanyGermany
DLWW
Ivory CoastIvory Coast
LWLWL

Probability breakdown

60% confidence
Germany60%
Draw20%
Ivory Coast20%

Germany leads with 60% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Germany head into this in World Cup fixture at BMO Field in decent form (DLWW), while Ivory Coast arrive struggling for consistency (LWLWL). Germany have a 50% win rate across their last 4 matches, compared to 40% for Ivory Coast over 5 games.

The model rates Germany's attack at 90/100 against a 50/100 Ivory Coast defence, and Ivory Coast's attack at 50/100 against a 56/100 Germany backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Germany have won 2 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 3.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Ivory Coast have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per away game.

Germany have generated 1.67 xG per game recently while conceding 0.82 xG per match. Ivory Coast have generated 0.61 xG per game recently while conceding 0.92 xG per match.

Germany have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Germany to win with 60% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Germany 5970%, Draw 2000%, Ivory Coast 2040%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Germany 1Draws 00 Ivory Coast
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
20 Jun 2026
Germany
W21
Ivory Coast
xG 1.81.2

Recent form

Germany

Germany

D
vs Paraguay
29 Jun 2026
11
xG 1.5
L
@ Ecuador
25 Jun 2026
12
W
vs Ivory Coast
20 Jun 2026
21
xG 1.8
W
vs Curaçao
14 Jun 2026
71
Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast

L
vs Norway
30 Jun 2026
12
W
@ Curaçao
25 Jun 2026
20
L
@ Germany
20 Jun 2026
12
xG 1.2
W
vs Ecuador
15 Jun 2026
10
L
@ Egypt
10 Jan 2026
23
xG 0.0

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Germany vs Ivory Coast?

GoalVio's model predicts Germany to win with 60% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Germany vs Ivory Coast?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Germany vs Ivory Coast?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Germany vs Ivory Coast?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more