Germany U21vs
Georgia U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 10/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Germany U21 · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (12%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Germany U21 2-0 Georgia U21
Original prediction
Germany U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.06 | 87.3% | 80.9% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 10.78 | 8.6% | 12.2% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 22.48 | 4.1% | 7.0% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Germany U21
Probability
80.9%
Model confidence
80.9%
Germany U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.20
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80