Germany U20vs
Italy U20
COMPLETEDWorld · U20 Elite League · 9/29/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Germany U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Germany U20 3-0 Italy U20
Original prediction
Germany U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 56.9% | 49.9% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.1% | 25.4% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 4.68 | 19.0% | 24.7% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Germany U20
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Germany U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.20
GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40