Gerlachovvs
Liptovský Mikuláš
COMPLETEDSlovakia · Cup · 8/26/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Liptovský Mikuláš · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gerlachov 0-1 Liptovský Mikuláš
Original prediction
Liptovský Mikuláš
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 15.87 | 5.7% | 25.5% | 19.8 pts |
| Draw | 8.15 | 11.1% | 20.8% | 9.7 pts |
| Away | 1.08 | 83.3% | 53.8% | -29.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-29.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–27%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–16%
Predicted outcome
Liptovský Mikuláš
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Liptovský Mikuláš has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 4.25/2.25
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80