Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Sunday, 2 August 202609:30Updated today
Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

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L
vs
09:30
Fortuna 05

Fortuna 05

Away
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Fortuna 0533%
Gerasdorf Stammersdorf33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
33%
Draw
33%
Fortuna 05
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.92 xG for Gerasdorf Stammersdorf and 0.81 xG for Fortuna 05. Fortuna 05's projected xG of 0.81 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 0 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.73 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 0 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.

xG for (Gerasdorf Stammersdorf)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Gerasdorf Stammersdorf)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Gerasdorf StammersdorfGerasdorf Stammersdorf
L

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Gerasdorf Stammersdorf33%
Draw33%
Fortuna 0533%

Fortuna 05 leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Gerasdorf Stammersdorf vs Fortuna 05: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Gerasdorf Stammersdorf host Fortuna 05 in Friendlies Clubs. Gerasdorf Stammersdorf have recorded LLLLLL in recent matches while Fortuna 05 arrive with a run of LLLL.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.92 for Gerasdorf Stammersdorf and 0.81 for Fortuna 05. The gap of 1.10 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Gerasdorf Stammersdorf have been conceding 2.59 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

L
@ LAC-Inter
17 May 2026
03

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Gerasdorf Stammersdorf vs Fortuna 05?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Gerasdorf Stammersdorf vs Fortuna 05?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Gerasdorf Stammersdorf vs Fortuna 05?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Gerasdorf Stammersdorf vs Fortuna 05?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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