Georgia U21vs
Greece U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 9/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Greece U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Georgia U21 0-3 Greece U21
Original prediction
Greece U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.14 | 22.1% | 31.9% | 9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.7% | 27.4% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.75 | 52.2% | 40.7% | -11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Greece U21
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Greece U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00