GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K4 League · 5/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Geoje Citizen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Geoje Citizen are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Seosan Pioneer are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Geoje Citizen hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 30.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the K4 League, while Geoje Citizen holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Geoje Citizen

Probability

75.6%

Model confidence

9.1%

Geoje Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Geoje CitizenWLDLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Seosan PioneerWLLLW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Geoje CitizenSeosan Pioneer
62.5Attack41.7
45.8Defence20.8
43.8Form25.0
50.7Power30.6
3.39xG1.18
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