GGOALVIO

South-Korea · FA Cup · 7/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Geoje Citizen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Geoje Citizen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Incheon Seogot are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 9.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Geoje Citizen hold a 38.9-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the FA Cup, while Geoje Citizen holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Geoje Citizen

Probability

52.7%

Model confidence

10.1%

Geoje Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Geoje CitizenLLLWW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Incheon SeogotL

GF 0 · GA 9 · avg 0.00/9.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
Geoje CitizenIncheon Seogot
44.4Attack0.0
44.4Defence0.0
44.4Form0.0
45.9Power7.0
2.10xG1.37
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