Geoje Citizenvs
Incheon Seogot
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · FA Cup · 7/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Geoje Citizen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Geoje Citizen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Incheon Seogot are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 9.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Geoje Citizen hold a 38.9-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the FA Cup, while Geoje Citizen holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Geoje Citizen
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
10.1%
Geoje Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 0 · GA 9 · avg 0.00/9.00