GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K4 League · 8/23/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Geoje Citizen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Geoje Citizen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Haman are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and geoje Citizen hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 39.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely result in the K4 League, favouring Geoje Citizen with 10.4% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Geoje Citizen

Probability

65.3%

Model confidence

10.4%

Geoje Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Geoje CitizenLLWWL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
HamanWLLLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Geoje CitizenHaman
62.5Attack33.3
45.8Defence45.1
43.8Form33.3
50.7Power39.7
2.29xG0.97
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