Geoje Citizenvs
Haman
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K4 League · 10/17/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Geoje Citizen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Geoje Citizen 1-0 Haman
Original prediction
Geoje Citizen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.32 | 67.1% | 71.5% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.54 | 19.5% | 16.9% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 6.64 | 13.4% | 11.7% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Geoje Citizen
Probability
71.5%
Model confidence
71.5%
Geoje Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80