Gent Wvs
Standard Liege W
COMPLETEDBelgium · Super League Women · 10/17/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Standard Liege W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gent W 1-4 Standard Liege W
Original prediction
Standard Liege W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 11:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.65 | 24.2% | 31.6% | 7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.4% | 27.6% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.75 | 50.4% | 40.8% | -9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Standard Liege W
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Standard Liege W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60