Gentvs
Standard Liege
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 9/18/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gent · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gent 2-1 Standard Liege
Original prediction
Gent
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 52.3% | 54.2% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.7% | 23.5% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 4.44 | 21.0% | 22.3% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Gent
Probability
54.2%
Model confidence
54.2%
Gent has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GentDWWWW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Standard LiegeLWWWD
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GentStandard Liege
61.1Attack66.7
83.3Defence44.4
88.9Form61.1
79.8Power59.7
2.05xG1.11