Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gent · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gent 1-0 OH Leuven
Original prediction
Gent
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 55.8% | 58.1% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 25.2% | 22.9% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 4.91 | 19.0% | 19.1% | 0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Gent
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
58.1%
Gent has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GentWWDWD
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
OH LeuvenLLLLD
GF 9 · GA 18 · avg 1.80/3.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
GentOH Leuven
66.7Attack22.2
77.8Defence11.1
100.0Form0.0
85.2Power16.7
2.45xG0.87