Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gent · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Gent are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 4.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kortrijk are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Gent hold a 76.5-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 10.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.8% in the Jupiler Pro League, while Gent holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gent
Probability
62.8%
Model confidence
62.8%
Gent has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 21 · GA 7 · avg 4.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00