Gentvs
Anderlecht
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 10/25/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gent · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gent 1-0 Anderlecht, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gent 4-0 Anderlecht
Original prediction
Gent
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 38.1% | 48.8% | 10.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 29.6% | 27.9% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 32.3% | 23.3% | -9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.7 pts
Projected Score
Gent 1–0 Anderlecht
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Gent
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Gent has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GentLDWWW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AnderlechtWLLWW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
GentAnderlecht
62.5Attack37.5
83.3Defence75.0
91.7Form66.7
81.4Power61.5
1.29xG0.65