Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Genoa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Genoa 1-0 Sudtirol
Original prediction
Genoa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Genoa
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Genoa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GenoaLLWLL
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SudtirolDWDWD
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
GenoaSudtirol
100.0Attack66.7
66.7Defence33.3
100.0Form33.3
88.7Power45.3
1.96xG1.18