Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Genoa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Genoa 4-1 Ascoli
Original prediction
Genoa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 23:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Genoa
Probability
55.2%
Model confidence
55.2%
Genoa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GenoaLLWDW
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AscoliWLLLW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
GenoaAscoli
66.7Attack33.3
44.4Defence0.0
66.7Form0.0
62.6Power15.3
2.13xG1.18