Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Genoa U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Genoa U19 are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DWDL), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Monza U19 are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DDWL), averaging 2.25 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Genoa U19 hold a 27.5-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the Coppa Italia Primavera, while Genoa U19 holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Genoa U19
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Genoa U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.50/2.00
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 2.25/2.50