Gençlerbirliği S.K.vs
Galatasaray
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Galatasaray · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-3 (8%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0-1 Galatasaray
Original prediction
Galatasaray
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.09 | 13.1% | 16.4% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 5.07 | 18.4% | 18.5% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 1.36 | 68.5% | 65.1% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Galatasaray
Probability
65.1%
Model confidence
65.1%
Galatasaray has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40