Gençlerbirliği S.K.vs
Erzurumspor FK
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 8/28/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gençlerbirliği S.K. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1-1 Erzurumspor FK
Original prediction
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 46.3% | 50.4% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 29.1% | 26.2% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 3.82 | 24.5% | 23.4% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.22 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Gençlerbirliği S.K. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80