Gençlerbirliği S.K.vs
Amed
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 10/10/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Amed · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2-2 Amed
Original prediction
Amed
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.22 | 29.0% | 22.2% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 27.3% | 23.7% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 43.8% | 54.1% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–39%
Predicted outcome
Amed
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
Amed has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Gençlerbirliği S.K.LLLLD
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AmedWWDWL
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Gençlerbirliği S.K.Amed
27.8Attack83.3
27.8Defence61.1
38.9Form72.2
34.7Power70.6
0.91xG2.58