GGOALVIO

Belgium · Super League Women · 10/24/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Genk W · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Genk W 1-1 RAAL La Louviere W

Original prediction

Genk W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 14:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9646.0%41.3%-4.7 pts
Draw3.5825.1%28.7%3.5 pts
Away3.1128.9%30.1%1.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.58 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–014%
  3. 3.1–014%

Predicted outcome

Genk W

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Genk W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Genk WWWWLD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
RAAL La Louviere WDDLWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Genk WRAAL La Louviere W
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence61.1
55.6Form44.4
53.1Power49.3
1.17xG0.89
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