Genk Wvs
OH Leuven W
COMPLETEDBelgium · Super League Women · 9/12/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
OH Leuven W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Genk W 0-0 OH Leuven W
Original prediction
OH Leuven W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 10.99 | 8.2% | 25.1% | 16.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.75 | 15.7% | 24.9% | 9.2 pts |
| Away | 1.18 | 76.1% | 50.0% | -26.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-26.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
OH Leuven W
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
OH Leuven W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80