Genkvs
Standard Liege
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 10/25/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Genk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Genk 2-1 Standard Liege
Original prediction
Genk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 53.7% | 53.3% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 24.7% | 21.6% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 4.32 | 21.6% | 25.1% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Genk
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Genk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GenkWWLLD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Standard LiegeWLLLL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
GenkStandard Liege
66.7Attack54.2
50.0Defence45.8
50.0Form45.8
55.0Power50.9
2.20xG1.44