Genkvs
SK Beveren
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Genk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Genk 4-0 SK Beveren
Original prediction
Genk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 63.6% | 49.6% | -14.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.52 | 20.6% | 24.1% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 5.94 | 15.7% | 26.3% | 10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Genk
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Genk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GenkDWLWW
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
SK BeverenLWLWW
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
GenkSK Beveren
88.9Attack22.2
11.1Defence55.6
44.4Form33.3
51.1Power40.3
1.89xG1.35