Genkvs
SC Freiburg
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 3/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Freiburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Genk are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while SC Freiburg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and SC Freiburg hold a 23.9-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while SC Freiburg holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SC Freiburg
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
SC Freiburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80