GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/17/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olympiakos Piraeus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Genk are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Olympiakos Piraeus are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Olympiakos Piraeus hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Olympiakos Piraeus holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Olympiakos Piraeus

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Olympiakos Piraeus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GenkWLLDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Olympiakos PiraeusWLWDD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
GenkOlympiakos Piraeus
16.7Attack63.3
66.7Defence46.7
16.7Form56.7
36.5Power55.7
1.42xG1.70
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