Genkvs
Lech Poznan
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/28/2025, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lech Poznan · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Genk are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lech Poznan are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lech Poznan hold a 59.5-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 96.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Lech Poznan holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lech Poznan
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Lech Poznan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20