Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Genk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Genk 3-0 Kortrijk
Original prediction
Genk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.38 | 67.6% | 67.4% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.91 | 19.0% | 18.3% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 6.97 | 13.4% | 14.3% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Genk
Probability
67.4%
Model confidence
67.4%
Genk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GenkLLDDW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KortrijkDWLLL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
GenkKortrijk
61.9Attack9.5
42.9Defence28.6
42.9Form14.3
49.4Power22.5
2.62xG0.94