GenkvsDinamo Zagreb

Genk are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Dinamo Zagreb are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Dinamo Zagreb hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Genk holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.