General Velásquezvs
Santiago Morning
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 4/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
General Velásquez are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Santiago Morning are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and General Velásquez hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (43.1 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.0% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
27.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80