General Velásquezvs
Lota Schwager
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 10/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: General Velásquez 0-0 Lota Schwager, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
General Velásquez 1-2 Lota Schwager
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 35.2% | 31.3% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.9% | 33.3% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 35.9% | 35.5% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Projected Score
General Velásquez 0–0 Lota Schwager
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.3%
Model confidence
35.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
General VelásquezLDDDW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Lota SchwagerWLDDL
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
General VelásquezLota Schwager
28.3Attack33.3
60.0Defence66.7
38.3Form38.9
44.6Power48.2
0.60xG0.73